Aalborg BK vs HB Koge Prediction & Tips

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Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 32 Aalborg Portland Park· Aalborg Saturday, May 30, 2026 13:00

Aalborg BK PPG 1.67

1-0 HIT CS5

HB Koge PPG 1.07

Home + Over 2.5· +6.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -2.6%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -12.0%

Away 34.5%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -6.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.53 -8.1%

Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.35 -14.9%

BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.44 -20.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Aalborg BK

1.81

HB Koge

1.27

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + Over 2.5 (+6.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)