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Kjelsas vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Kjelsas

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Eidsvold

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-19.0%0-26.8%0-33.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.8%1-111.8%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.1%2-17.7%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.2%3-13.4%3-22.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% 51.3% 1.95 -36.2%

Draw 24.8% 27.0% 3.70 -4.9%

Away win 42.5% 32.3% 3.10 +31.8%

Over 2.5 60.1% 67.6% 1.48 -11.1%

Over 3.5 36.2% 45.5% 2.20 -20.4%

BTTS 61.0% 70.4% 1.42 -13.4%

Home O1.5 37.7% 59.9% 1.67 -37.0%

Away O1.5 44.7% 46.5% 2.15 -3.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kjelsas1.3

Eidsvold1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KJELSAS · PPG 3.00

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Kjelsas (H) 32.7%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -36.2%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.9%

Eidsvold (A) 42.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kjelsas face Eidsvold in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kjelsas a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Eidsvold 43%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kjelsas and 1.5 for Eidsvold (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kjelsas are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Eidsvold. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 0-4.

Kjelsas vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions