Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Follo vs Ull.Kisa

Follo vs Ull.Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Follo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Ull.Kisa

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 84.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a clear edge.

+21.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.2%0-20.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.5%1-13.9%1-23.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.2%2-16.5%2-25.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.7%3-17.3%3-25.6%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-114.1%4+-210.9%4+-35.6%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% 55.6% 1.80 +9.3%

Draw 19.6% 24.4% 4.10 -11.8%

Away win 19.7% 30.3% 3.30 -21.0%

Over 2.5 72.7% 76.9% 1.30 -5.5%

Over 3.5 54.6% 55.6% 1.80 -1.7%

BTTS 63.4% 76.9% 1.30 -17.6%

Home O1.5 84.5% 69.4% 1.44 +21.7%

Away O1.5 45.6% 51.3% 1.95 -11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 61% / xG 3.3-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 6.5%

#3 4–1 6.1%

#4 3–2 5.6%

#5 2–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Follo3.3

Ull.Kisa1.5

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FOLLO · PPG 1.00

ULL.KISA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Follo (H) 60.7%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +9.3%

Draw 19.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -11.8%

Ull.Kisa (A) 19.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -21.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Follo face Ull.Kisa in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Follo a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Ull.Kisa 20%, so Follo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Follo and 1.5 for Ull.Kisa (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Follo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Ull.Kisa. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +40.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Follo vs Ull.Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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