Chongqing T. vs Beijing Guoan Prediction & Tips

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China - Super League Regular Season - 15 Longxing Football Stadium· Chongqing Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00

Chongqing T. PPG 1.86

2-3 MISS

Beijing Guoan PPG 1.29

Home· +63.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.3%

Odds: 3.70 EV: +63.9%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -1.4%

Away 27.9%

Odds: 1.88 EV: -28.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 1.80 -15.9%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.00 -10.1%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.67 -13.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chongqing T.

1.31

Beijing Guoan

0.98

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+63.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)