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China - Super League Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:35 
Chengdu PPG 2.57 
Shandong T. PPG 1.50
China - Super League Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:35 Chengdu PPG 2.571-0 MISS
Shandong T. PPG 1.50Home + Over 2.5· +56.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.45 -4.6%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.15 -7.3%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.42 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Chengdu 2.77
Shandong T. 0.95
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -4.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 43 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=60.6%