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Landskrona vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00

Landskrona

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDDD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Brage

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-110.8%0-25.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.3%1-113.2%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.6%2-18.1%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.1%3-13.3%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% 44.4% 2.25 -3.0%

Draw 28.8% 28.6% 3.50 +0.5%

Away win 28.2% 33.9% 2.95 -10.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 54.6% 1.83 -15.4%

Over 3.5 27.7% 33.3% 3.00 -10.1%

BTTS 51.5% 61.7% 1.62 -16.6%

Home O1.5 34.6% 47.6% 2.10 -27.3%

Away O1.5 29.0% 40.8% 2.45 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.5%

H 43% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landskrona1.2

Brage1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.25

BRAGE · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

Chance this pick lands

59%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.80) strong but model favors Home (P=43.1%)

Win probability 1X2

Landskrona (H) 43.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -3.0%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +0.5%

Brage (A) 28.2%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -10.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landskrona face Brage in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landskrona a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Brage 28%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Landskrona and 1.1 for Brage (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landskrona are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.80 for Brage. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Landskrona vs Brage Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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