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Suzhou Dongwu vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00

Suzhou Dongwu

PPG 0.75 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-119.7%0-211.1%0-34.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.8%1-112.2%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.3%2-13.8%2-22.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.7%3-10.8%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.0% 29.4% 3.40 -15.1%

Draw 33.4% 35.1% 2.85 -4.8%

Away win 44.6% 45.5% 2.20 -1.9%

Over 2.5 33.8% 37.0% 2.70 -8.7%

Over 3.5 18.6% 22.2% 4.50 -9.8%

BTTS 45.5% 46.5% 2.15 -2.2%

Home O1.5 12.8% 26.0% 3.85 -30.4%

Away O1.5 31.1% 37.0% 2.70 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.5%

A 45% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%

#2 0–1 19.7%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.1%

#5 1–0 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suzhou Dongwu0.6

Wuxi Wugou1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 0.75

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Suzhou Dongwu (H) 22.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -15.1%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -4.8%

Wuxi Wugou (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Suzhou Dongwu face Wuxi Wugou in China - League One on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suzhou Dongwu a 22% chance, the draw 33% and Wuxi Wugou 45%, so Wuxi Wugou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.1 for Wuxi Wugou (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suzhou Dongwu are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Wuxi Wugou. This match finished 1-3.

Suzhou Dongwu vs Wuxi Wugou Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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