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Meshakhte vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 10:00

Meshakhte

PPG 0.57 · HOME

1 – 6

FULL TIME

Dinamo Tbilisi

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-120.6%0-212.5%0-35.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.6%1-111.5%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-02.7%2-13.2%2-21.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.5%3-10.6%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.2% 20.8% 4.80 -7.6%

Draw 32.0% 30.3% 3.30 +5.6%

Away win 49.7% 61.0% 1.64 -18.5%

Over 2.5 34.0% 50.0% 2.00 -32.0%

Over 3.5 18.6% 29.2% 3.42 -21.8%

BTTS 45.5% 52.4% 1.91 -13.1%

Home O1.5 10.9% 23.3% 4.30 -31.9%

Away O1.5 34.0% 54.3% 1.84 -37.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-6

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob45.5%

A 50% / xG 0.6-1.2 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 20.6%

#2 0–0 17.1%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 0–2 12.5%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meshakhte0.6

Dinamo Tbilisi1.2

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MESHAKHTE · PPG 0.57

DINAMO TBILISI · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Meshakhte (H) 18.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -7.6%

Draw 32.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +5.6%

Dinamo Tbilisi (A) 49.7%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -18.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Meshakhte face Dinamo Tbilisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meshakhte a 18% chance, the draw 32% and Dinamo Tbilisi 50%, so Dinamo Tbilisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Meshakhte and 1.2 for Dinamo Tbilisi (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meshakhte are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.86 for Dinamo Tbilisi. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 1-6.

Meshakhte vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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