Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 / Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili

Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 24 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 13:00

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLD

UPCOMING

Merani Martvili

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-17.1%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.0%1-111.7%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.6%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.4%3-15.3%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.1%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 47.6% 2.10 +7.5%

Draw 24.4% 32.3% 3.10 -14.6%

Away win 24.4% 31.3% 3.20 -13.2%

Over 2.5 51.6% 50.0% 2.00 +3.2%

Over 3.5 31.6% 30.3% 3.30 +4.3%

BTTS 52.9% 54.3% 1.84 -2.7%

Home O1.5 48.2% — — —

Away O1.5 27.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolkheti Poti1.6

Merani Martvili1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 1.33

MERANI MARTVILI · PPG 1.09

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

54%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kolkheti Poti (H) 51.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +7.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.6%

Merani Martvili (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolkheti Poti face Merani Martvili in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolkheti Poti a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Merani Martvili 24%, so Kolkheti Poti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kolkheti Poti and 1.0 for Merani Martvili (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolkheti Poti are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.09 for Merani Martvili. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Kolkheti Poti vs Merani Martvili Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions