Today / China - Super League / Qingdao West C. vs S. Shenhua

Qingdao West C. vs S. Shenhua Prediction— China - Super League

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 10:00

Qingdao West C.

PPG 1.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

S. Shenhua

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-110.5%0-27.4%0-33.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.8%1-112.4%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.2%2-17.4%2-25.2%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.1%3-12.9%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 44.6% 2.24 -17.3%

Draw 25.9% 28.6% 3.50 -5.6%

Away win 37.2% 35.5% 2.82 +4.9%

Over 2.5 54.3% 59.9% 1.67 -9.3%

Over 3.5 32.2% 38.2% 2.62 -15.6%

BTTS 55.3% 65.4% 1.53 -15.4%

Home O1.5 33.3% 51.3% 1.95 -35.1%

Away O1.5 41.5% 44.4% 2.25 -6.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.4%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao West C.1.2

S. Shenhua1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO WEST C. · PPG 1.33

S. SHENHUA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao West C. (H) 36.9%

ODDS 2.24 · IMPLIED 44.6% EV -17.3%

Draw 25.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -5.6%

S. Shenhua (A) 37.2%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV +4.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao West C. face S. Shenhua in China - Super League on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao West C. a 37% chance, the draw 26% and S. Shenhua 37%, so S. Shenhua are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Qingdao West C. and 1.4 for S. Shenhua (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao West C. are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.33 for S. Shenhua. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 2-2.

Qingdao West C. vs S. Shenhua Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions