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Peterhead vs Queen of South Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One logo Scotland flag Scotland - League One Regular Season - 34 Balmoor· Peterhead Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Peterhead logo Peterhead PPG 1.50
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Queen of South logo Queen of South PPG 1.25
Home· +31.9% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterhead face Queen of South in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterhead a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Queen of South 39%, so Peterhead are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Peterhead and 1.7 for Queen of South (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterhead are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.25 for Queen of South. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +31.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.8%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +31.9%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -20.9%
Away 38.7%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -26.1%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.4% Odds: 1.70 +12.9%
Over 3.5 44.5% Odds: 2.70 +20.2%
BTTS 67.1% Odds: 1.57 +5.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Peterhead
1.71
Queen of South
1.71

Model Suggestion

BTTS +5.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+31.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 56%
ROI 13.0%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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