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Australia - Queensland NPL Saturday, May 30, 2026 08:15 
Rochedale PPG 1.20 
Moreton City E. PPG 1.20
Australia - Queensland NPL Saturday, May 30, 2026 08:15 Rochedale PPG 1.20VS PENDING
Moreton City E. PPG 1.20Away + Over 2.5· +14.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 73.7% Odds: 1.25 -7.9%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.65 -9.9%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.30 -17.6%
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-3
2nd 1-2
3rd 1-4
4th 2-3
5th 2-2
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochedale 1.50
Moreton City E. 3.34
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+14.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+14.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 60%
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)