Inverness vs Kelty Hearts Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 34 Tulloch Caledonian Stadium· Inverness Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Inverness PPG 2.31

1-0 HIT CS4

Kelty Hearts PPG 1.00

Home· +4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Inverness face Kelty Hearts in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inverness a 87% chance, the draw 10% and Kelty Hearts 3%, so Inverness are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Inverness and 0.4 for Kelty Hearts (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inverness are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.00 for Kelty Hearts. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 87.1%

Odds: 1.20 EV: +4.5%

Draw 9.7%

Odds: 5.75 EV: -44.2%

Away 3.2%

Odds: 11.00 EV: -64.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.48 -5.0%

Over 3.5 42.2% Odds: 2.20 -7.2%

BTTS 32.5% Odds: 2.00 -35.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Inverness

2.89

Kelty Hearts

0.42

Model SuggestionHome +4.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.31), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus