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Western Knights vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Western Knights

PPG 2.60 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Perth SC

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=49.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.9%0-22.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-04.2%1-16.9%1-25.7%1-33.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.0%2-18.3%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.0%3-16.6%3-25.5%3-33.0%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-17.1%4+-25.8%4+-33.2%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 69.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.4%

H 50% / xG 2.4-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Western Knights2.4

Perth SC1.7

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTERN KNIGHTS · PPG 2.60

PERTH SC · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=49.9%

Win probability 1X2

Western Knights (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Western Knights face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Western Knights a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Perth SC 28%, so Western Knights are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Western Knights and 1.7 for Perth SC (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Western Knights are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Perth SC. This match finished 3-4.

Western Knights vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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