Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.33 -3.3%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.73 -5.5%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.30 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-2 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-2 ✔
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 2-3 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -3.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + BTTS (+24.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value BALANCED Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)