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Armadale vs Perth Glory B Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 07:00

Armadale

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Perth Glory B

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.7% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.9%0-22.2%0-31.7%0-4+1.8%1 1-02.0%1-14.6%1-25.5%1-34.3%1-4+4.5%2 2-02.4%2-15.7%2-26.8%2-35.3%2-4+5.5%3 3-02.0%3-14.7%3-25.6%3-34.4%3-4+4.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-15.3%4+-26.2%4+-34.9%4+-4+5.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 47.6% 2.10 -8.6%

Draw 20.9% 27.0% 3.70 -13.6%

Away win 35.6% 37.0% 2.70 -3.9%

Over 2.5 72.7% 75.2% 1.33 -3.3%

Over 3.5 54.6% 57.8% 1.73 -5.5%

BTTS 65.9% 76.9% 1.30 -14.3%

Home O1.5 70.7% 63.7% 1.57 +11.0%

Away O1.5 68.4% 55.6% 1.80 +23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob65.9%

H 44% / xG 2.5-2.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 5.7%

#3 3–2✓ 5.6%

#4 1–2 5.5%

#5 2–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Armadale2.5

Perth Glory B2.4

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ARMADALE · PPG 1.00

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Armadale (H) 43.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -8.6%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -13.6%

Perth Glory B (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -3.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Perth Glory B in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 44% chance, the draw 21% and Perth Glory B 36%, so Armadale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Armadale and 2.4 for Perth Glory B (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Perth Glory B. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +24.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Armadale vs Perth Glory B Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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