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Australia - Tasmania NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 10 KGV Park Saturday, May 30, 2026 06:45
Glenorchy K. logo Glenorchy K. PPG 2.00
1-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Launceston logo Launceston PPG 2.00
Away + BTTS· +59.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%
Odds: 2.30 EV: -19.0%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -11.6%
Away 44.0%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +1.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.28 -6.6%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.65 -9.9%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.25 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 2-2
3rd 1-3
4th 2-3
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Glenorchy K.
1.94
Launceston
2.90

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + BTTS (+59.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 87%
O2.5/Under 80%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 27%
ROI 20.6%
Bet Hit 80% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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