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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 14 Saturday, May 30, 2026 06:30
Maitland logo Maitland PPG 0.60
2-1 MISS
Belmont Swansea logo Belmont Swansea PPG 2.00
Away + BTTS· +30.6% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.4%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -17.4%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -11.9%
Away 44.5%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +2.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.33 -3.3%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.76 -3.9%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.30 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-3
4th 1-1
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Maitland
2.10
Belmont Swansea
2.60

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -3.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + BTTS (+30.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 79%
BTTS/No 71%
Score Hit 39%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 100% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.60)

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