Alloa Athletic PPG 1.69
East Fife PPG 0.81Alloa Athletic face East Fife in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alloa Athletic a 76% chance, the draw 16% and East Fife 8%, so Alloa Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Alloa Athletic and 0.6 for East Fife (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alloa Athletic are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.81 for East Fife. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.5%. This match finished 2-0.
Home team in GOOD form (1.69), Away POOR (0.81) - Strong consensus