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Australia - Tasmania NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 10 Devonport Oval· Devonport Saturday, May 30, 2026 04:30
Devonport logo Devonport PPG 3.00
1-0 MISS
Ulverstone logo Ulverstone PPG 0.00
Away· +61.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.5%
Odds: 1.02 EV: -20.9%
Draw 15.6%
Odds: 9.20 EV: +26.1%
Away 7.0%
Odds: 29.00 EV: +61.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 80.0% Odds: 1.04 -16.8%
Over 3.5 60.8% Odds: 1.24 -24.6%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.10 -0.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 5-0
2nd 4-0
3rd 5-1
4th 3-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Devonport
5.96
Ulverstone
0.57

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -16.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+61.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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