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Edgeworth E. vs Kahibah Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Saturday, May 30, 2026, 04:00

Edgeworth E.

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kahibah

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 81.9% vs bookmaker-implied 82.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.6%0-20.9%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.3%1-15.0%1-22.9%1-31.1%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.6%2-17.8%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.9%3-18.1%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-011.8%4+-113.8%4+-28.1%4+-33.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% 77.5% 1.29 -20.3%

Draw 19.6% 20.0% 5.00 -1.2%

Away win 18.6% 13.3% 7.50 +23.7%

Over 2.5 72.7% 75.2% 1.33 -3.3%

Over 3.5 45.5% 56.2% 1.78 -19.0%

BTTS 62.4% 65.4% 1.53 -4.5%

Home O1.5 81.9% 82.6% 1.21 -0.9%

Away O1.5 32.7% 30.5% 3.28 +7.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.4%

H 62% / xG 3.1-1.2 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 3–0 6.9%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 4–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Edgeworth E.3.1

Kahibah1.2

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EDGEWORTH E. · PPG 3.00

KAHIBAH · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Win probability 1X2

Edgeworth E. (H) 61.8%

ODDS 1.29 · IMPLIED 77.5% EV -20.3%

Draw 19.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -1.2%

Kahibah (A) 18.6%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Edgeworth E. face Kahibah in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Edgeworth E. a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Kahibah 19%, so Edgeworth E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Edgeworth E. and 1.2 for Kahibah (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Edgeworth E. are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Kahibah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.7%.

Edgeworth E. vs Kahibah Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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