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Cooks Hill Utd vs Valentine Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Saturday, May 30, 2026, 04:00

Cooks Hill Utd

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Valentine

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 70.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.1%0-21.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.9%1-17.6%1-24.2%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.1%3-17.8%3-24.3%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-07.9%4+-18.7%4+-24.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.5% 62.5% 1.60 -3.2%

Draw 19.8% 25.0% 4.00 -12.5%

Away win 19.7% 23.8% 4.20 -10.4%

Over 2.5 65.6% 71.4% 1.40 -8.2%

Over 3.5 43.1% 53.5% 1.87 -19.4%

BTTS 61.0% 71.4% 1.40 -14.6%

Home O1.5 70.9% 73.0% 1.37 -2.9%

Away O1.5 30.1% 42.0% 2.38 -28.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.0%

H 60% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.4%

#2 1–1 7.6%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 3–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cooks Hill Utd2.5

Valentine1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

COOKS HILL UTD · PPG 1.60

VALENTINE · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Cooks Hill Utd (H) 60.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -3.2%

Draw 19.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -12.5%

Valentine (A) 19.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cooks Hill Utd face Valentine in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cooks Hill Utd a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Valentine 20%, so Cooks Hill Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Cooks Hill Utd and 1.1 for Valentine (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cooks Hill Utd are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.43 for Valentine. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +0.0%.

Cooks Hill Utd vs Valentine Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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