Ross County vs Ayr Utd Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 34 Global Energy Stadium· Dingwall Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Ross County PPG 0.94

2-1 HIT CS5

Ayr Utd PPG 1.25

Away· +13.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ross County face Ayr Utd in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ross County a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Ayr Utd 36%, so Ross County are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ross County and 1.1 for Ayr Utd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ross County are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.25 for Ayr Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.0%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -21.5%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -12.0%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +13.9%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.4% Odds: 2.20 -11.1%

Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: 4.20 -15.6%

BTTS 46.7% Odds: 1.85 -13.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Ross County

1.15

Ayr Utd

1.15

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.25)