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Racing Cordoba vs Ferro Carril Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 00:00

Racing Cordoba

PPG 1.57 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Ferro Carril

PPG 2.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.3%0-117.9%0-28.8%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.2%1-112.9%1-26.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.7%2-14.6%2-22.3%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.1%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.6% 37.0% 2.70 -18.5%

Draw 32.8% 38.5% 2.60 -14.7%

Away win 41.6% 34.5% 2.90 +20.6%

Over 2.5 34.0% 36.4% 2.75 -6.5%

Over 3.5 18.6% 16.7% 6.00 +7.0%

BTTS 45.5% 47.6% 2.10 -4.5%

Home O1.5 16.2% 32.3% 3.10 -29.9%

Away O1.5 25.6% 30.3% 3.30 -9.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.5%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.3%

#2 0–1 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 1–0 13.2%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Cordoba0.7

Ferro Carril1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CORDOBA · PPG 1.57

FERRO CARRIL · PPG 2.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Racing Cordoba (H) 25.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -18.5%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -14.7%

Ferro Carril (A) 41.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Cordoba face Ferro Carril in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Cordoba a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Ferro Carril 42%, so Ferro Carril are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Racing Cordoba and 1.0 for Ferro Carril (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Cordoba are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 2.13 for Ferro Carril. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Racing Cordoba vs Ferro Carril Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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