Ireland - Premier DivisionRegular Season - 19Tallaght Stadium· DublinFriday, May 29, 202619:00
Shamrock RoversPPG 2.44
1-0HIT CS3
St. PatricksPPG 1.44
Over3.5· +3.2%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home40.0%
Odds: 2.28EV: -8.8%
Draw29.4%
Odds: 3.25EV: -2.7%
Away30.6%
Odds: 3.10EV: -5.1%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.2%Odds: 2.10-3.0%
Over 3.527.7%Odds: 3.80+3.2%
BTTS50.2%Odds: 1.80-9.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd0-0✘
3rd1-0✔
4th0-1✘
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers
1.25
St. Patricks
1.01
Model Suggestion
BTTS-9.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=40.0%