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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 19 Tallaght Stadium· Dublin Friday, May 29, 2026 19:00
Shamrock Rovers logo Shamrock Rovers PPG 2.44
1-0 HIT CS3
St. Patricks logo St. Patricks PPG 1.44
Over3.5· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.0%
Odds: 2.28 EV: -8.8%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -2.7%
Away 30.6%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -5.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.80 +3.2%
BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.80 -9.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Shamrock Rovers
1.25
St. Patricks
1.01

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=40.0%

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