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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 18 UCD Bowl· Dublin Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45
UC Dublin logo UC Dublin PPG 2.00
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Athlone Town logo Athlone Town PPG 0.88
Over3.5· +6.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.8%
Odds: 1.78 EV: -9.6%
Draw 24.9%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -5.5%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 4.30 EV: +2.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.8% Odds: 1.91 -4.9%
Over 3.5 31.7% Odds: 3.35 +6.2%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.77 -8.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

UC Dublin
1.59
Athlone Town
0.73

Model Suggestion

BTTS -8.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+6.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.8%

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