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Greenock Morton vs Queens Park Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship logo Scotland flag Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 34 Cappielow Park· Greenock Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Greenock Morton logo Greenock Morton PPG 1.31
0-0 HIT CS5
Queens Park logo Queens Park PPG 1.06
Home· +6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Greenock Morton face Queens Park in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Greenock Morton a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Queens Park 23%, so Greenock Morton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Greenock Morton and 0.9 for Queens Park (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Greenock Morton are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.06 for Queens Park. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.1%
Odds: 2.08 EV: +6.3%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -13.9%
Away 22.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -25.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.2% Odds: 1.90 -17.9%
Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: 3.10 -30.9%
BTTS 46.3% Odds: 1.67 -22.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Greenock Morton
1.50
Queens Park
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home +6.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 41%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 6.7%
Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org