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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 18 Turners Cross· Cork Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45
Cork City logo Cork City PPG 2.63
4-0 MISS
Finn Harps logo Finn Harps PPG 0.63
Away· +37.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.8%
Odds: 1.30 EV: -18.4%
Draw 21.4%
Odds: 4.90 EV: +2.9%
Away 15.8%
Odds: 10.25 EV: +37.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%
Over 3.5 30.5% Odds: 2.55 -22.2%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.93 -8.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 3-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cork City
1.94
Finn Harps
0.61

Model Suggestion

Home -18.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -18.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=62.8%

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