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Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Kerry

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.4% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-110.8%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.1%1-113.2%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.6%2-18.1%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.3%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 45.0% 2.22 -4.5%

Draw 28.7% 31.3% 3.20 -4.9%

Away win 28.3% 30.3% 3.30 -4.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 27.7% 28.2% 3.55 -1.0%

BTTS 51.4% 57.8% 1.73 -11.1%

Home O1.5 34.4% 45.5% 2.20 -24.3%

Away O1.5 24.1% 34.7% 2.88 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.4%

H 43% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.6%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 2–0✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers1.2

Kerry0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.25

KERRY · PPG 0.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=43.0%

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 43.0%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -4.5%

Draw 28.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.9%

Kerry (A) 28.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Kerry in Ireland - First Division on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Kerry 28%, so Cobh Ramblers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cobh Ramblers and 0.9 for Kerry (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.38 for Kerry. This match finished 2-0.

Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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