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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 18 Carlisle Grounds· Bray Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45
Bray Wanderers logo Bray Wanderers PPG 2.00
4-0 MISS
Wexford logo Wexford PPG 0.75
Home· +9.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.2%
Odds: 2.22 EV: +9.2%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -10.2%
Away 26.4%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -11.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.75 +5.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.80 +1.4%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.57 -4.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bray Wanderers
1.61
Wexford
1.17

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=49.2%

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