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Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Matchday 19 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 18:45

Sligo Rovers

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Bohemians

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-116.3%0-211.3%0-35.2%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.9%1-112.3%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.3%2-14.6%2-23.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.8%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 21.5% 4.65 +2.5%

Draw 29.3% 27.8% 3.60 +3.3%

Away win 48.3% 57.5% 1.74 -16.0%

Over 2.5 46.4% 50.0% 2.00 -7.2%

Over 3.5 27.7% 28.2% 3.55 -1.0%

BTTS 47.2% 54.1% 1.85 -12.7%

Home O1.5 17.4% 26.7% 3.75 -20.8%

Away O1.5 40.4% 54.1% 1.85 -25.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -10.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.2%

A 48% / xG 0.8-1.4 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.3%

#2 1–1 12.3%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 0–2 11.3%

#5 1–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sligo Rovers0.8

Bohemians1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLIGO ROVERS · PPG 1.22

BOHEMIANS · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

48%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.89) vs Home AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

Sligo Rovers (H) 22.4%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV +2.5%

Draw 29.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +3.3%

Bohemians (A) 48.3%

ODDS 1.74 · IMPLIED 57.5% EV -16.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sligo Rovers face Bohemians in Ireland - Premier Division on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sligo Rovers a 22% chance, the draw 29% and Bohemians 48%, so Bohemians are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sligo Rovers and 1.4 for Bohemians (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sligo Rovers are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.89 for Bohemians. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 1-3.

Sligo Rovers vs Bohemians Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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