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Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45 
Dundalk PPG 1.89 
Derry City PPG 0.89
Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45 Dundalk PPG 1.892-1 HIT CS4
Derry City PPG 0.89Home· +2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 1.83 -14.5%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.10 -8.5%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.62 -16.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✔
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundalk 1.40
Derry City 1.03
Model Suggestion
BTTS -16.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 43 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 46.6%
Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=44.3%