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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 19 Weavers Park· Drogheda Friday, May 29, 2026 18:45
Drogheda Utd logo Drogheda Utd PPG 1.33
3-3 MISS
Waterford logo Waterford PPG 0.11
Over3.5· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.6%
Odds: 1.84 EV: -1.4%
Draw 22.7%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -10.3%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -4.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.80 +8.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 3.00 +8.6%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.67 -7.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Drogheda Utd
1.86
Waterford
1.01

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +8.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+8.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=53.6%

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