Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

Arbroath face Raith Rovers in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arbroath a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Raith Rovers 21%, so Arbroath are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Arbroath and 0.8 for Raith Rovers (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arbroath are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.94 for Raith Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.5%. This match finished 2-1.