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Wiener SC vs Leobendorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 33 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 1.67 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Leobendorf

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-19.4%0-26.8%0-33.3%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.4%1-112.1%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.4%2-17.8%2-25.6%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.3%3-13.3%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 44.4% 2.25 -13.4%

Draw 25.6% 27.8% 3.60 -4.7%

Away win 35.9% 39.2% 2.55 -8.5%

Over 2.5 53.5% 63.7% 1.57 -16.0%

Over 3.5 31.8% 45.2% 2.21 -29.7%

BTTS 55.3% 71.4% 1.40 -22.6%

Home O1.5 36.8% 54.6% 1.83 -32.7%

Away O1.5 42.2% 51.3% 1.95 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.5%

#4 2–1 7.8%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC1.3

Leobendorf1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.67

LEOBENDORF · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -13.4%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -4.7%

Leobendorf (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -8.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Leobendorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Leobendorf 36%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wiener SC and 1.4 for Leobendorf (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.80 for Leobendorf. This match finished 3-0.

Wiener SC vs Leobendorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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