Airdrieonians vs Partick Thistle Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Regular Season - 34 Albert Bartlett Stadium· Airdrie Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Airdrieonians PPG 0.81

2-2 MISS

Partick Thistle PPG 1.38

Home· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Airdrieonians face Partick Thistle in Scotland - Championship on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Airdrieonians a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Partick Thistle 44%, so Partick Thistle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Airdrieonians and 1.3 for Partick Thistle (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Airdrieonians are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 1.38 for Partick Thistle. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +5.1%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +0.5%

Away 44.4%

Odds: 1.82 EV: -19.2%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.5% Odds: 1.70 -34.5%

Over 3.5 18.7% Odds: 2.75 -48.6%

BTTS 44.2% Odds: 1.60 -29.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Airdrieonians

0.94

Partick Thistle

1.29

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.81)