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Favoritner AC vs Gloggnitz Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 33 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:10

Favoritner AC

PPG 1.57 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Gloggnitz

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 68.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.9%0-27.3%0-34.5%0-4+3.1%1 1-05.6%1-110.3%1-29.5%1-35.8%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.7%2-16.7%2-26.2%2-33.8%2-4+2.7%3 3-01.6%3-12.9%3-22.7%3-31.7%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.1% 31.3% 3.20 -4.1%

Draw 25.4% 25.6% 3.90 -0.6%

Away win 45.5% 54.6% 1.83 -16.7%

Over 2.5 60.1% 65.4% 1.53 -8.1%

Over 3.5 36.2% 46.1% 2.17 -21.4%

BTTS 61.0% 68.0% 1.47 -10.3%

Home O1.5 37.5% 39.4% 2.54 -4.8%

Away O1.5 55.0% 66.2% 1.51 -17.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.0%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Favoritner AC1.3

Gloggnitz1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 1.57

GLOGGNITZ · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Favoritner AC (H) 29.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -4.1%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -0.6%

Gloggnitz (A) 45.5%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -16.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Favoritner AC face Gloggnitz in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Favoritner AC a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Gloggnitz 46%, so Gloggnitz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Favoritner AC and 1.8 for Gloggnitz (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Favoritner AC are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.73 for Gloggnitz. This match finished 4-0.

Favoritner AC vs Gloggnitz Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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