Valerenga vs Kristiansund Prediction & Tips

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Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 11 Intility Arena· Oslo Friday, May 29, 2026 17:00

Valerenga PPG 1.40

3-1 MISS

Kristiansund PPG 0.80

Away· +31.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.0%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -36.4%

Draw 29.7%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +17.2%

Away 29.3%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +31.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.50 -30.7%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.25 -22.6%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.55 -20.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valerenga

1.22

Kristiansund

1.02

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)