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KFUM Oslo vs Tromso Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 11 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

KFUM Oslo

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Tromso

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-110.4%0-26.9%0-33.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.5%1-112.7%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.8%2-17.7%2-25.2%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.4%3-13.1%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 36.4% 2.75 -0.7%

Draw 27.8% 29.9% 3.35 -4.1%

Away win 36.1% 40.8% 2.45 -11.6%

Over 2.5 50.9% 51.3% 1.95 -0.7%

Over 3.5 29.7% 29.4% 3.40 +0.6%

BTTS 55.3% 58.8% 1.70 -6.0%

Home O1.5 34.5% 39.2% 2.55 -12.0%

Away O1.5 38.5% 42.6% 2.35 -9.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 93 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.3%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0✓ 7.8%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.2

Tromso1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 1.80

TROMSO · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

58%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.7%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -4.1%

Tromso (A) 36.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -11.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Tromso in Norway - Eliteserien on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Tromso 36%, so KFUM Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for KFUM Oslo and 1.3 for Tromso (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.75 for Tromso. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +0.6%. This match finished 0-0.

KFUM Oslo vs Tromso Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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