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Donaufeld vs TWL Elektra Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 33 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 16:00

Donaufeld

PPG 1.47 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

TWL Elektra

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-11.5%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.9%1-14.7%1-21.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.8%2-17.3%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.3%3-17.7%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-019.5%4+-113.2%4+-24.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.6% 94.3% 1.06 -26.2%

Draw 21.2% 9.1% 11.00 +79.9%

Away win 9.3% 4.3% 23.00 +68.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 80.0% 1.25 -17.8%

Over 3.5 44.3% 59.2% 1.69 -25.1%

BTTS 52.5% 37.5% 2.67 +40.2%

Home O1.5 82.1% — — —

Away O1.5 14.9% 9.8% 10.25 +31.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.5%

H 70% / xG 3.1-0.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.8%

#3 4–0 8.9%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Donaufeld3.1

TWL Elektra0.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DONAUFELD · PPG 1.47

TWL ELEKTRA · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Donaufeld (H) 69.6%

ODDS 1.06 · IMPLIED 94.3% EV -26.2%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV +79.9%

TWL Elektra (A) 9.3%

ODDS 23.00 · IMPLIED 4.3% EV +68.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Donaufeld face TWL Elektra in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Donaufeld a 70% chance, the draw 21% and TWL Elektra 9%, so Donaufeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Donaufeld and 0.7 for TWL Elektra (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Donaufeld are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.40 for TWL Elektra. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +79.9%. This match finished 4-2.

Donaufeld vs TWL Elektra Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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