Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.44 -5.3%
Over 3.5 43.7% Odds: 2.10 -8.2%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.44 -8.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✔
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home + BTTS (+4.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 29 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 83%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -13.6%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)