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Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Friday, May 29, 2026, 09:30

Wynnum Wolves

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brisbane Roar B

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 78.7% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.8%0-21.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.6%1-15.3%1-23.9%1-31.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.3%2-17.8%2-25.7%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.1%3-17.6%3-25.6%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-07.7%4+-111.3%4+-28.3%4+-34.1%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% 62.5% 1.60 -8.2%

Draw 21.4% 23.8% 4.20 -6.1%

Away win 21.2% 23.8% 4.20 -6.6%

Over 2.5 72.7% 78.1% 1.28 -6.9%

Over 3.5 47.3% 58.8% 1.70 -19.6%

BTTS 63.4% 76.9% 1.30 -17.6%

Home O1.5 78.7% 75.2% 1.33 +4.7%

Away O1.5 43.3% 48.8% 2.05 -11.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 57% / xG 2.9-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.3%

#4 2–2 5.7%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wynnum Wolves2.9

Brisbane Roar B1.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WYNNUM WOLVES · PPG 1.33

BRISBANE ROAR B · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Wynnum Wolves (H) 57.4%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -8.2%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.1%

Brisbane Roar B (A) 21.2%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wynnum Wolves face Brisbane Roar B in Australia - Queensland NPL on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wynnum Wolves a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Brisbane Roar B 21%, so Wynnum Wolves are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Wynnum Wolves and 1.5 for Brisbane Roar B (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wynnum Wolves are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Brisbane Roar B. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +7.7%.

Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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