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Pyramids FC vs Smouha Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group - 7 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 17:00

Pyramids FC

PPG 2.23 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Smouha

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-110.2%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.1%1-111.9%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-16.9%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.5%3-12.7%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 78.7% 1.27 -38.9%

Draw 31.5% 22.7% 4.40 +38.6%

Away win 20.4% 7.4% 13.50 +105.2%

Over 2.5 35.0% 48.8% 2.05 -28.2%

Over 3.5 10.2% 27.4% 3.65 -37.7%

BTTS 46.2% 37.7% 2.65 +22.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–0 20.1%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pyramids FC1.2

Smouha0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 2.23

SMOUHA · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=48.1%

Win probability 1X2

Pyramids FC (H) 48.1%

ODDS 1.27 · IMPLIED 78.7% EV -38.9%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +38.6%

Smouha (A) 20.4%

ODDS 13.50 · IMPLIED 7.4% EV +105.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pyramids FC face Smouha in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pyramids FC a 48% chance, the draw 32% and Smouha 20%, so Pyramids FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pyramids FC and 0.6 for Smouha (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pyramids FC are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.18 for Smouha. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +105.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Pyramids FC vs Smouha Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions