Today / China - League Two / Wuhan TT B vs Guangdong M.

Wuhan TT B vs Guangdong M. Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 10 ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 11:30

Wuhan TT B logo
Wuhan TT B
PPG 0.75 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
Guangdong M. logo
Guangdong M.
PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.5%0-113.6%0-25.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.7%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-16.2%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-12.0%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 38.9% 45.5% 2.20 -14.4%
Draw 35.3% 33.9% 2.95 +4.1%
Away win 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%
Over 2.5 35.0% 40.0% 2.50 -12.5%
Over 3.5 9.1% 21.1% 4.75 -34.1%
BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%
Home O1.5 24.7% 38.3% 2.61 -21.3%
Away O1.5 16.7% 26.7% 3.75 -22.4%

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 48%
ROI 1.7%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 39% / xG 1.0-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.5%
#2 1–0 17.7%
#3 1–1 12.9%
#4 0–1 13.6%
#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan TT B1.0
Guangdong M.0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 9.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN TT B · PPG 0.75

GUANGDONG M. · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan TT B (H) 38.9%
ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -14.4%
Draw 35.3%
ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +4.1%
Guangdong M. (A) 25.8%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan TT B face Guangdong M. in China - League Two on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan TT B a 39% chance, the draw 35% and Guangdong M. 26%, so Wuhan TT B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wuhan TT B and 0.7 for Guangdong M. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan TT B are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.60 for Guangdong M.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.1%. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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