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Changchun Xidu vs Beijing IT Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 10 ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 08:00

Changchun Xidu

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Beijing IT

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-112.3%0-24.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-113.1%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.0%2-17.0%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.2%3-12.5%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 52.6% 1.90 -18.3%

Draw 33.0% 32.3% 3.10 +2.3%

Away win 24.1% 27.0% 3.70 -6.5%

Over 2.5 35.0% 44.4% 2.25 -21.3%

Over 3.5 11.6% 23.8% 4.20 -30.8%

BTTS 48.6% 48.8% 2.05 -0.4%

Home O1.5 28.8% 46.1% 2.17 -22.5%

Away O1.5 18.4% 23.3% 4.30 -12.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.8%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.8%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Changchun Xidu1.1

Beijing IT0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CHANGCHUN XIDU · PPG 1.33

BEIJING IT · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Changchun Xidu (H) 43.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -18.3%

Draw 33.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +2.3%

Beijing IT (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Changchun Xidu face Beijing IT in China - League Two on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Changchun Xidu a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Beijing IT 24%, so Changchun Xidu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Changchun Xidu and 0.8 for Beijing IT (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Changchun Xidu are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Beijing IT. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Changchun Xidu vs Beijing IT Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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