Yate Town vs Gloucester City Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 The Jelf Stadium· Yate, South Gloucestershire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Yate Town PPG 1.50

2-1 MISS

Gloucester City PPG 1.60

Away· -0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Yate Town face Gloucester City in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yate Town a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Gloucester City 57%, so Gloucester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Yate Town and 2.1 for Gloucester City (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yate Town are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.60 for Gloucester City. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -22.3%

Draw 20.8%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -18.9%

Away 57.0%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -0.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.0% Odds: 1.53 -0.5%

Over 3.5 43.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 62.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Yate Town

1.25

Gloucester City

2.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-0.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.60)