← Back to picks

Weymouth vs Chertsey Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 Bob Lucas Stadium· Weymouth, Dorset Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Weymouth logo Weymouth PPG 1.05
5-1 MISS
Chertsey Town logo Chertsey Town PPG 1.45
Away· +20.8% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Weymouth face Chertsey Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weymouth a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Chertsey Town 48%, so Chertsey Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Weymouth and 1.6 for Chertsey Town (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weymouth are averaging 1.05 points per game versus 1.45 for Chertsey Town. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 5-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.9%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -39.5%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -8.2%
Away 48.3%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +20.8%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.5% Odds: 1.60 -17.6%
Over 3.5 29.3% Odds: —
BTTS 54.1% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Weymouth
1.13
Chertsey Town
1.60

Model Suggestion

BTTS ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 45%
Score Hit 30%
ROI -21.1%
Bet Hit 50% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.05) vs Away AVERAGE (1.45)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org