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C. Rongcheng B vs G. Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 10 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 11:35

C. Rongcheng B

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

G. Zhucheng

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-115.6%0-28.2%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.7%1-113.4%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.5%2-15.7%2-23.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.6%3-11.6%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.9% 28.2% 3.55 +3.7%

Draw 33.5% 32.3% 3.10 +3.9%

Away win 36.6% 51.3% 1.95 -28.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 44.4% 2.25 -21.3%

Over 3.5 12.6% 24.1% 4.15 -28.6%

BTTS 48.6% 51.3% 1.95 -5.2%

Home O1.5 21.2% 26.7% 3.75 -12.3%

Away O1.5 28.2% 44.1% 2.27 -21.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 34% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.6%

#4 1–0 12.7%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Rongcheng B0.9

G. Zhucheng1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.6%

Form & verdict PPG

C. RONGCHENG B · PPG 1.50

G. ZHUCHENG · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

C. Rongcheng B (H) 29.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +3.7%

Draw 33.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +3.9%

G. Zhucheng (A) 36.6%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -28.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Rongcheng B face G. Zhucheng in China - League Two on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Rongcheng B a 30% chance, the draw 34% and G. Zhucheng 37%, so G. Zhucheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for C. Rongcheng B and 1.0 for G. Zhucheng (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Rongcheng B are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for G. Zhucheng. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +3.9%. This match finished 1-2.

C. Rongcheng B vs G. Zhucheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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