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Taian Tiankuang vs Dalian Kewei Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 10 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 07:30

Taian Tiankuang

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Dalian Kewei

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-038.1%0-117.6%0-24.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.2%1-18.9%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.8%2-12.2%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.8%3-10.4%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.8% 47.6% 2.10 -22.4%

Draw 44.2% 34.5% 2.90 +28.2%

Away win 26.0% 29.4% 3.40 -7.0%

Over 2.5 23.8% 38.2% 2.62 -22.6%

Over 3.5 1.7% 19.0% 5.25 -54.6%

BTTS 29.3% 46.5% 2.15 -22.2%

Home O1.5 9.1% 38.9% 2.57 -46.0%

Away O1.5 7.9% 22.2% 4.50 -38.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob29.3%

D 44% / xG 0.5-0.5 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 38.1%

#2 1–0 19.2%

#3 0–1 17.6%

#4 1–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taian Tiankuang0.5

Dalian Kewei0.5

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 1.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TAIAN TIANKUANG · PPG 2.00

DALIAN KEWEI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=29.8%

Win probability 1X2

Taian Tiankuang (H) 29.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -22.4%

Draw 44.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +28.2%

Dalian Kewei (A) 26.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Taian Tiankuang face Dalian Kewei in China - League Two on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taian Tiankuang a 30% chance, the draw 44% and Dalian Kewei 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Taian Tiankuang and 0.5 for Dalian Kewei (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taian Tiankuang are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Dalian Kewei. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +28.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Taian Tiankuang vs Dalian Kewei Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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