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Brazil - Serie C logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 8 Leonidas Sodre de Castro· Belem Monday, May 25, 2026 23:00
Paysandu logo Paysandu PPG 2.00
2-1 HIT CS5
Floresta logo Floresta PPG 2.33
Away + Over 2.5· +21.5% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.2%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -16.4%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.4%
Away 26.6%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +5.4%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.4% Odds: 2.40 +11.4%
Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 4.50 -6.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.10 +8.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Paysandu
1.27
Floresta
1.03

Model Suggestion

BTTS +8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+21.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

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