Alianza A. vs FC Cajamarca Prediction & Tips

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Peru - Primera División Apertura - 16 Estadio Campeones del 36· Sullana Sunday, May 24, 2026 20:30

Alianza A. PPG 1.71

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

FC Cajamarca PPG 0.50

Away· +17.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%

Odds: 1.58 EV: -17.2%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -1.9%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 5.90 EV: +17.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.00 -4.8%

Over 3.5 23.6% Odds: 3.45 -11.2%

BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.93 -0.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Alianza A.

1.65

FC Cajamarca

0.82

Model SuggestionHome -17.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -17.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=52.4%